. He has made the Pro Bowl in each of his first six seasons, adding four first-team All-Pro appearances. Evans and Godwin might end up hurting each other's chances by preventing the other from getting a 185-target season like the one Michael Thomas enjoyed in 2019. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . Witten is also the only Hall of Fame candidate on the Raiders' roster. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. But Thomas rsum with six first team All-Pro selections and 10 Pro Bowl trips helped overcome any shortcomings with team success. Hightower and McCourty have made only two Pro Bowls each, and while they'll get a bump for their Super Bowl rings, it's tough to imagine them getting in when guys like Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel didn't make it from the first era of Pats Super Bowl winners. Barnwell and friends discuss sports -- usually. As he enters the league, Young's chances of making the Hall of Fame on draft status alone sneak him into consideration. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Danielle Hunter, S Harrison Smith. Just six of 32 Hall-eligible winners made it to Canton, although that's going to rise in the years to come as the likes of Charles Woodson and Julius Peppers win enshrinement. An interesting case could be made for Frank Gore, who is third all-time in rushing with 16,000 yards in a 16-season career with five teams, but tied for 19th in touchdowns with 81. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. And as much as everyone loves Boldin, he was never dominant enough to keep his former teammate out of Canton. Buy Seahawks Tickets. What makes Evans production especially impressive is that he entered the league at such a young age. Membership Foundation Corporate Partners Artifact Donations Commemorative Brick . He previously worked as the sports editor at the Corpus Christi Caller-Times. Twelve of the 29 Hall-eligible players who have started their careers with three consecutive Pro Bowl nods have made it to Canton. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. It might seem surprising to put Hill this high, but he has made it to four Pro Bowls and been a first-team All-Pro twice across his first four seasons. McShay's favorite pick for all 32 teams Wait, Joe Burrow? One more nomination should get Smith in. There are questions about Roethlisberger's character; he has twice been accused of sexual assault. Peterson, fifth all-time in rushing yards (14,918), is a good bet for election on the first ballot. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? If a receiver can enter the league and perform well right away at a boyish age, that speaks well for his future as he develops. Barr made four consecutive Pro Bowls from 2015 to 2018, but it'll be tough for him to get the first-team All-Pro votes he'll need for Canton without racking up significant sack totals. If the Falcons had held on to their lead and won the Super Bowl, Ryan would have won game MVP, and his 2016 probably would have been enough for a gold jacket. The Ring of Honor recognizes Vikings legends for their contributions to the success of the team on and off the field. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Melvin Gordon, DE Jurrell Casey. (1:43), Barnwell: Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? Likely (70% to 99%): WR Tyreek Hill, TE Travis Kelce. Evans has a chance to continue making history in 2022. If he can stay healthy, he's probably going to retire in the top 10 for career passing yardage, but will that really be enough to get him in without more individual awards or team success? He isn't going to catch Jerry Rice, but he's just under 5,000 yards behind Larry Fitzgerald, who ranks second in career receiving yards. Theyre easily first-ballot selections. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. A Super Bowl victory would probably help. Guy earned six Pro Bowl nominations and three All-Pro picks before turning 30. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. will Evans play and how productive will he be? If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. The Hall of Fame Game, like the rest of the preseason, has been canceled during the coronavirus pandemic. Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. 4 overall pick will start his career at left tackle after Nate Solder opted out of this season. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Cam Newton, CB Stephon Gilmore. While Tucker would be the overwhelming choice as the best kicker in football, the Hall has elected just two full-time kickers in its history. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Kyler Murray, S Budda Baker. He could roll off a string of these nods in the years to come. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? All seven players who did that and who are eligible for the Hall are in, and the list of ineligible guys includes Hill, Patrick Willis, Joe Thomas, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Peterson, Zack Martin and Aaron Donald. QB Anthony Richardson rejects 'project label' entering combine, Texans terminate center Justin Britt's contract, Bun B, Badu, J.J. Watt celebrate RodeoHouston Southern Takeover. You probably dont need me to tell you that in 2018 Moss became the most recent receiver to be inducted into the Hall of Fame. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. One more Pro Bowl would probably do the trick. But given the relatively small number of modern-era inductees each year a minimum of three and maximum of five now is a good time to look at the ballot in upcoming years and notable players wholl become eligible for election and may impact Johnsons fate with voters. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Joe Burrow. Erica Farber. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz. Heres what those guys did in their first five seasons and where they rank among all receivers in the age-21-to-25 cohort. Likely (70% to 99%): LB Khalil Mack. Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. He figures to have a strong case for first-ballot election. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Adam Thielen, LB Anthony Barr. And thanks to coach Kelvin Sampson and the assistants he Solomon: DeMeco Ryans the right coach at the right time, 3 pressing questions facing new Astros GM Dana Brown, Jabari Smith Jr. growing up in NBA with an assist from his father, Poor parent behavior is driving high school sports refs away. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, G David DeCastro, DE Cameron Heyward, S Minkah Fitzpatrick. Charley Taylor<br>1964-1975, 1977 . In the running (40% to 69%): DE Chandler Jones. Collins retired with 70 touchdown receptions, sixth-best total in NFL history at the time and more than Hall of Fame receivers Lynn Swann, Art Monk, Bobby Mitchell, Michael Irvin and John Stallworth. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. He was a Pro Bowler in 2017 and has 37.5 sacks over his first four pro seasons, but he was overshadowed a bit by Campbell over that time frame. But during his 15-year career, Lewis has only been a Pro Bowler and Second-Team All-Pro in 2010. Donald clinched his gold jacket when he won his second Defensive Player of the Year award. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. Beasley won a sack title. Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). Work to do (10% to 39%): DE DeMarcus Lawrence, DT Gerald McCoy, LB Leighton Vander Esch. Bakhtiari, likewise, is blocked by Tyron Smith. On Tuesday, future NFL Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald spoke with the team. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. He probably needs two more All-Pro seasons to finalize his case. If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. 8/16/2011. Since 1980, there have been 23 Modern-Era Wide Receivers honored by the Hall of Fame, with an average Legends Score of 29. In my Week 10 WR/CB matchups piece, I highlight the upcoming matchup between Evans and Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson and say that we might be seeing two Canton-bound players go at each other in a one-on-one heavyweight matchup.. He might not make it on the first ballot, but he should make it eventually. It's not too late to play with friends and family. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). Meanwhile on offense, receiver Allen Robinson's three-year, $46.5 million contract (signed last spring) comes with $15.2 million guaranteed in 2023. This is the big question: How much longer will Evans play and how productive will he be? In other words, instead of trying to project their chances by guessing what they'll do in the future, I'm looking at what they've done so far, comparing them to players at similar points in their careers, and seeing how often players with those sorts of careers made it into the Hall of Fame. If you need something more, Fitzgerald's 2008 playoff run is probably the best postseason from any receiver in league history. He's going to get in on the first ballot. This was. Returning to form and earning a seventh Pro Bowl nod in his first season with the Ravens got Thomas back on track. Joe Fortenbaugh isn't picking Odell Beckham Jr. to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but he expects Kevin Stefanski's scheme to improve the wide receiver's numbers in 2020. Mosley. Za'Darius Smith might have been the best pass-rusher in the league last season and has been great over the past two years on a snap-by-snap basis, but he turns 28 in September. The superstar edge rusher has made the Pro Bowl every year except 2013, when he was suspended before going down with a torn ACL. Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2020: QB | RB | TE | WR | OT Can Baker Mayfield's game be fixed? (1:43). Jerry Rice and Terrell Owens are two of the greatest players to ever catch a football, ranking first and second, respectively, in receiving yards and receiving touchdowns in NFL history. Hekker got a two-season head start, but he has been a first-team All-Pro four times before turning 30 in February. Wagner also has a Super Bowl victory and, quite famously, an MVP vote from Tony Dungy on his rsum. March 25, 2020 9:36 pm ET. Whitworth was criminally underrated during his time in Cincinnati, earning just one Pro Bowl nod during his first nine seasons with the Bengals. Peppers, who played for the Panthers (twice), Bears and Packers, ranks fourth on the NFLs all-time sack list with 159 and was also on the Halls All-Decade Team for the 2000s and 2010s. Lock (100%): QB Patrick Mahomes. But as a running back who has been above average or good seemingly forever, he's getting in. Astros great Craig Biggio had to wait until his third time on the ballot to be voted to the Baseball Hall of Fame, and fell an agonizing two votes shy the previous year. He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. We still have to see what happens with the former LSU star, but of the 24 quarterbacks drafted with the first overall pick since the merger, five are either Hall of Famers or extremely likely to be enshrined. Brees could have retired five years ago and comfortably made the Hall of Fame. Adams hasn't been able to break through the Julio Joneses of the world to earn a first-team All-Pro spot, which is probably where he needs to get. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. You could make a case Jones belongs in the Likely category based on his 2017 and 2019 seasons, although I'd argue there's a significant gap between those two campaigns and the rest of his career. He has the third most sacks through his age-25 season of any player since the league made it an official stat in 1982, trailing only Derrick Thomas and J.J. Watt. In the running (40% to 69%): C Jason Kelce, DT Fletcher Cox. In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. Houston probably had the best shot of these four earlier in his career, given that he made four consecutive Pro Bowls and led the league with 22 sacks in 2014, but he hasn't been dominant since dealing with a knee injury between 2015 and 2016. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation The Cal product has five Pro Bowls and a first-team All-Pro appearance through his age-30 season. What do Johnsons future prospects look like? Aldon Smith, who was once the most promising young edge rusher in football, would need a miraculous comeback in his first season since 2015 to get back on the HOF radar. When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. Players with two Pro Bowls and one first-team All-Pro spot across their first three seasons who are eligible for the Hall have made it just over 48% of the time. Pouncey fits that magic 8+2 formula I mentioned earlier with regard to Atkins, and at 31, he should still have a couple more Pro Bowls in him. Greg Rajan is the senior editor for Texas Sports Nation, the Houston Chronicle's sports website, and also curates the daily TXSN newsletter and writes about sports media. People in favor of him will point to his stats, which are clearly better than those of Eli Manning, but that ignores the point; Manning isn't getting into the Hall because of his regular-season stats. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. Allen was named a Pro Bowler after racking up 10.5 sacks as a rookie. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. Is Gore a lock to get into the Hall of Fame? Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. Center Rodney Hudson deserves more attention, but he has been stuck behind Maurkice Pouncey in the AFC and has only three Pro Bowls to show across his seven years as a starter with the Chiefs and Raiders. He has made five consecutive Pro Bowls and has a first-team All-Pro appearance. Mosley's case, meanwhile, has stalled in New York. Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor, Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. The 49ers' two-decade-plus string of Pro Bowl quarterbacks and near-two-decade run of employing an all-time receiving talent abruptly stopped in 2004. While the wide receiver logjam is a disaster for Hall of Fame voters, Moss should present a no-brainer case one day as a first-ballot choice. Roethlisberger won two Super Bowls with the Steelers and spent 18 seasons as Pittsburghs starter. DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. Gilmore wasn't on track to become a Hall of Famer before he joined the Patriots, having made one Pro Bowl across his first five seasons in Buffalo, but he has made back-to-back first-team All-Pro teams and then won Defensive Player of the Year last season. After all, offensive tackle Joe Thomas was elected Thursday on the first ballot despite never playing a playoff game in 11 seasons with the Browns, who were more often than not the NFLs standard for team ineptitude. DeCastro has five consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and two All-Pro nods; if Faneca can't get in with nine consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and five All-Pro shots, DeCastro still has a lot of work to do. The others are Moss, Keenan Allen and Amari Cooper. By Paul Mclane . The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. Xavien Howard made the Pro Bowl in 2018 and would be the best candidate, but he has missed an average of six games per season across his four pro campaigns. While guys like Franco Harris and Champ Bailey managed to make it to the Hall with similar starts to their careers, standouts like Chris Hinton, Ricky Watters and Donovan McNabb have come up short without getting to that next level. Unfortunately, Houston fans have had to wait through the years to see their stars get inducted. We all know what he's capable of, but he needs to put together a first-team All-Pro or Defensive Player of the Year-level campaign soon. Giants fans would be happy if Thomas solidified a position that has been a mess since Will Beatty tore his pec in 2015. Lattimore has two Pro Bowl appearances in his first three seasons; if you throw out early-career players like Lattimore, Jalen Ramsey and Marcus Peters, eight of the 11 corners to pull that off since the merger are either in the Hall of Fame or going there. With three rushing titles, a 2,000-yard season and an MVP award in his trophy room, Peterson will be a first-ballot Hall of Famer. Jones should make up some of that difference in 2020, and after Fitzgerald retires, he should be able to challenge the Cardinals great for that second spot. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. After being retired for five years, players maintain modern-era eligibility for 20 years, after which their cases go to the seniors committee. What will the Buffalo Bills do without defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier? Sherman has a strong case as the best cornerback of the decade and was an essential piece of what was likely the best defense of the decade. Outside of that one year, though, he has three Pro Bowl nods, no first-team All-Pro spots and a 2-5 record in the postseason. I think the PED suspensions could help keep out players like Edelman and Lane Johnson, but it's tough to imagine Peterson not making it. Heyward reminds me a lot of Campbell; they're prototypical five-technique ends who upped their pass-rushing performance when given more opportunities to get after the quarterback. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Andrew Thomas. The former Philadelphia Eagles great and St. Louis Rams star will become the 28th and 29th wide receivers to be honored with a place in Canton, OH. To contrast with a Hall of Famer, Derrick Brooks had six Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances by this point. Seymour made it to seven Pro Bowls and three All-Pro teams and hasn't made it to the Hall of Fame, but Thomas was more conspicuous at safety and was a key member of a legendary defense. The closest comp is Ken Anderson, who had a similar peak and won an MVP award but didn't last quite as long and hasn't been able to get in. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. Hester was a (great) returner, which typically doesn't inspire the same sort of fervor as other All-Pro nods, while Jackson actually started with three consecutive All-Pro nods before dropping off and retiring after nine years.
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